In Poker, You Don’t Have to Be the Favorite to Make a Profitable Call
Why a profitable call does not always need to be the favorite: pot odds, an A♣T♥ bounty model and the limits of our assumptions.
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Articles
SHMiTO hands and concepts, plus thoughts on poker and life. New dated articles come first; undated essays are collected below.
October: 128 hours live and a month in the red
October 1–30 comes to approximately −$28.1K, including the current week’s expected Rewards. A losing month, but there was plenty of poker, 16 streaming days and a community freeroll with 683 players. Here is the whole picture.
Why My River Call Started Preflop
How a small-blind limp shaped my river call at the APT High Roller final table: preflop ranges, human reads and ICM pressure.
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One board, four strategies: why raising does not oblige you to bet
The same Q♣ J♣ 6♣ monotone flop, four different situations and very different betting frequencies. Why ranges and position matter more than an automatic c-bet.
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Want to Play Better Tournament Poker? Start Out of Position
Understand preflop: button versus blinds, 3-bets, squeezes and EV, with original GTO Wizard examples and practical adjustments.
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One goal down and eight days left
The weight goal is complete: 79.70 kg (175.7 lb). Poker stands at $103,256, with eight days left on the other goal.
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4-Betting Kings Is Easy. What About the Rest of Your Range?
Non-all-in 4-bets, jams and complete ranges at 40 BB. With original GTO Wizard screenshots.
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Why I call with eight-high but can fold top pair
Why eight-high can continue against a wider betting range: an 86o hand, a solver experiment and the human patterns behind the decision.
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Why the turn range starts on the flop
Pocket kings against Larin in GG Millions. How a small change in the flop betting range can change the turn decision.
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Checking Back the Nuts to Win Almost His Entire Stack
The nut straight, deep stacks, and an unusual check against Alisson Piekazewicz. My reasoning from preflop to river.
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To win, you must be willing to lose
After many years in poker, you start to notice something that has very little to do with the cards.
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